FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

43.24 – 271.42

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

151 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 61.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 259.1 ±12.8

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 76.74Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5470The Cowpunchers

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX -16.55Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6094Manic Mechanics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -16.95Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528.3 ±10.7

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 90.75Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9754Vestabots

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 53.76Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 126.91Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6753, 5470, 6094

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6753, 5470, 6094

Auto

10.5 25%

Teleop

11.9 28%

Endgame

20.0 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2054, 9754, 3572

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2054, 9754, 3572

Auto

41.1 15%

Teleop

170.8 63%

Endgame

57.2 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score43.2pts

Blue projected score271.4pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -228.2
Score range: 11–303
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 438 vs event baseline 179.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

259.1Season APEX528.3

10.5Auto41.1

11.9Teleop170.8

20Endgame57.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	75
teleop	93	161
endgame	39	51
foul	0	0
total	151	287

Result

Final score

151 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 61.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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