FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

216.62 – 108.97

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

308 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 49.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.2 ±11.1

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 123.13Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 76.67Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 16.82Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.7 ±12.2

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 38.11Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 17.04Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 53.82Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3572, 7195, 5623

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3572, 7195, 5623

Auto

43.9 20%

Teleop

125.3 57%

Endgame

50.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 288, 9542, 5927

/ 100 compat

Projected

109 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 288, 9542, 5927

Auto

24.4 22%

Teleop

64.7 57%

Endgame

24.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score216.6pts

Blue projected score109pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 107.7
Score range: 74–252
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 425 vs event baseline 192.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.2Season APEX245.7

43.9Auto24.4

125.3Teleop64.7

50.8Endgame24.3

35Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	15
teleop	207	58
endgame	52	44
foul	5	0
total	308	117

Result

Final score

308 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 49.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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