FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.92 – 104.27

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.1 ±12.2

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 55.11Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 47.07Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9721Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 30Event APEX -13.26Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.8 ±12.7

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 39.31Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6114Hamilton CyberHawks

Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 58.32Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 6.64Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5623, 8397, 9721

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5623, 8397, 9721

Auto

21.7 24%

Teleop

67.4 74%

Endgame

1.6 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9671, 6114, 9542

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9671, 6114, 9542

Auto

27.6 24%

Teleop

61.2 54%

Endgame

25.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.9pts

Blue projected score104.3pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -15.3
Score range: 56–137
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 182.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.1Season APEX227.8

21.7Auto27.6

67.4Teleop61.2

1.6Endgame25.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	29
teleop	18	65
endgame	23	27
foul	0	0
total	41	121

Result

Final score

41 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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