Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
107.86 – 216.28
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
131 – 307
Prediction correct · off by 56.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 235.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 64.16Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 17.55Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 26.15Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 117.59Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 38.14Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67Event APEX 60.55Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7195, 3425, 4680
51
/ 100 compatProjected
107.9 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7195, 3425, 4680
Auto
29.8 29%
Teleop
60.2 58%
Endgame
13.7 13%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3539, 5610, 5927
77
/ 100 compatProjected
216.3 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3539, 5610, 5927
Auto
38.8 18%
Teleop
111.7 52%
Endgame
64.1 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.3
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score107.9pts
Blue projected score216.3pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 67%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -108.4
- Score range
- 76–248
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
235.5Season APEX357.1
29.8Auto38.8
60.2Teleop111.7
13.7Endgame64.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 35 |
| teleop | 65 | 188 |
| endgame | 40 | 79 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 131 | 307 |
Result
Final score
131 – 307
Prediction correct · off by 56.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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