FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

161.53 – 218.77

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 54.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 322.7 ±12.4

3458Code Blue

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 33.66Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7248Tactical Hams

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 60Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 67.87Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 418.7 ±11.7

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 28.23Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 129.08Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 61.46Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3458, 7248, 2619

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3458, 7248, 2619

Auto

24.5 16%

Teleop

97.8 65%

Endgame

29.3 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 288, 1918, 11491

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 288, 1918, 11491

Auto

28.3 13%

Teleop

121.8 56%

Endgame

68.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score161.5pts

Blue projected score218.8pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -57.2
Score range: 130–251
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 361 vs event baseline 180.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

322.7Season APEX418.7

24.5Auto28.3

97.8Teleop121.8

29.3Endgame68.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	50
teleop	36	171
endgame	39	43
foul	0	0
total	97	264

Result

Final score

97 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 54.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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