FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

173.35 – 137.71

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

143 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 47 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 303.1 ±12.2

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 118.65Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 60.55Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX -5.85Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 225.9 ±13.3

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 41.51Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 69.74Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11522Union HS

Season APEX 79.9Event APEX 26.46Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7054, 6128, 5256

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7054, 6128, 5256

Auto

23.9 16%

Teleop

76.2 51%

Endgame

50.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 107, 9206, 11522

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 107, 9206, 11522

Auto

34.5 24%

Teleop

47.4 33%

Endgame

62.7 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score173.4pts

Blue projected score137.7pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 35.6
Score range: 105–206
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 217 vs event baseline 185.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

303.1Season APEX225.9

23.9Auto34.5

76.2Teleop47.4

50Endgame62.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	20
teleop	60	11
endgame	27	38
foul	10	5
total	143	74

Result

Final score

143 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 47 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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