FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

98.71 – 220.77

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

195 – 313

Prediction correct · off by 94.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 299.2 ±12.2

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 14.25Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 85.19Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -0.73Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 451.1 ±11.7

9754Vestabots

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 15.61Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 152.45Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 52.71Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 85, 74, 7210

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 85, 74, 7210

Auto

22.3 27%

Teleop

38.2 47%

Endgame

21.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9754, 6090, 141

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9754, 6090, 141

Auto

39.0 19%

Teleop

118.9 58%

Endgame

48.3 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score98.7pts

Blue projected score220.8pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -122.1
Score range: 67–253
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 508 vs event baseline 180.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

299.2Season APEX451.1

22.3Auto39

38.2Teleop118.9

21.6Endgame48.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	60
teleop	118	189
endgame	39	44
foul	0	20
total	195	313

Result

Final score

195 – 313

Prediction correct · off by 94.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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