FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

88.32 – 82.13

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

223 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 290.5 ±11.6

6114Hamilton CyberHawks

Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 33.29Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 30.25Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 24.78Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.8 ±12.2

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 38.12Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 30.25Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6877Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 13.76Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6114, 5927, 3357

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6114, 5927, 3357

Auto

11.4 13%

Teleop

44.5 51%

Endgame

31.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8397, 9542, 6877

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8397, 9542, 6877

Auto

8.7 10%

Teleop

47.1 57%

Endgame

27.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.3pts

Blue projected score82.1pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.2
Score range: 49–121
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 181.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

290.5Season APEX265.8

11.4Auto8.7

44.5Teleop47.1

31.3Endgame27.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	24
teleop	139	67
endgame	50	18
foul	0	0
total	223	109

Result

Final score

223 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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