Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.49221.11

22%78%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66123

Prediction correct · off by 76.3 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 150.3 ±13.9
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 61.9Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 27.14Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 31.45Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 17.42Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 115.73Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 87.96Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11491, 5470, 3425
51
/ 100 compat
Projected
120.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 11491, 5470, 3425
Auto
14.5 12%
Teleop
76.1 63%
Endgame
31.0 25%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6094, 244, 7195
72
/ 100 compat
Projected
221.1 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6094, 244, 7195
Auto
22.2 10%
Teleop
138.4 65%
Endgame
51.1 24%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 2.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score120.5pts
Blue projected score221.1pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 72%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-100.6
Score range
86255
Upset likelihood
22%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 189 vs event baseline 189.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

150.3Season APEX296.7
14.5Auto22.2
76.1Teleop138.4
31Endgame51.1
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2842
teleop1756
endgame1625
foul50
total66123

Result

Final score

66123

Prediction correct · off by 76.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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