Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
120.49 – 221.11
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
66 – 123
Prediction correct · off by 76.3 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 150.3 ±13.9
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 61.9Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 27.14Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 31.45Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 17.42Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 115.73Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 87.96Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11491, 5470, 3425
51
/ 100 compatProjected
120.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 11491, 5470, 3425
Auto
14.5 12%
Teleop
76.1 63%
Endgame
31.0 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6094, 244, 7195
72
/ 100 compatProjected
221.1 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6094, 244, 7195
Auto
22.2 10%
Teleop
138.4 65%
Endgame
51.1 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 2.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score120.5pts
Blue projected score221.1pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 72%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -100.6
- Score range
- 86–255
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
150.3Season APEX296.7
14.5Auto22.2
76.1Teleop138.4
31Endgame51.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 42 |
| teleop | 17 | 56 |
| endgame | 16 | 25 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 66 | 123 |
Result
Final score
66 – 123
Prediction correct · off by 76.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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