FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

200.48 – 136.03

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

288 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 86.3 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 591.8 ±10.5

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 35.72Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 90.23Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 74.53Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 133.9 ±13.9

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 90.23Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9721Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 30Event APEX 14.13Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6428STEMINEERS

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 31.67Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6128, 1918, 2054

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6128, 1918, 2054

Auto

25.2 12%

Teleop

124.9 60%

Endgame

58.0 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9206, 9721, 6428

/ 100 compat

Projected

136 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9206, 9721, 6428

Auto

11.5 9%

Teleop

66.3 53%

Endgame

48.1 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score200.5pts

Blue projected score136pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.4
Score range: 102–234
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 191.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

591.8Season APEX133.9

25.2Auto11.5

124.9Teleop66.3

58Endgame48.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	16
teleop	177	22
endgame	59	13
foul	0	0
total	288	51

Result

Final score

288 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 86.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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