FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

209.19 – 208.25

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

235 – 299

Prediction missed · off by 58.3 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 398.2 ±11.1

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 36.71Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 50.57Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 121.91Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 474.5 ±10.5

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 100.86Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 50.57Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 56.82Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 141, 9671, 3539

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 141, 9671, 3539

Auto

26.6 14%

Teleop

124.9 65%

Endgame

40.3 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7054, 2619, 74

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7054, 2619, 74

Auto

27.6 14%

Teleop

117.3 58%

Endgame

57.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score209.2pts

Blue projected score208.3pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.9
Score range: 175–242
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 534 vs event baseline 182.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

398.2Season APEX474.5

26.6Auto27.6

124.9Teleop117.3

40.3Endgame57.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	54
teleop	146	147
endgame	30	53
foul	5	45
total	235	299

Result

Final score

235 – 299

Prediction missed · off by 58.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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