FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

84.85 – 174.04

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

103 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.2 ±13.3

6428STEMINEERS

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 12.27Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 59.9Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 12.68Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260.9 ±11.7

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 73.67Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 91.86Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9721Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 30Event APEX 8.51Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6428, 141, 5256

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6428, 141, 5256

Auto

20.0 28%

Teleop

44.8 62%

Endgame

7.1 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3357, 6753, 9721

/ 100 compat

Projected

174 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3357, 6753, 9721

Auto

19.2 11%

Teleop

105.4 62%

Endgame

45.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.9pts

Blue projected score174pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.2
Score range: 50–209
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 192.9.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210.2Season APEX260.9

20Auto19.2

44.8Teleop105.4

7.1Endgame45.3

101Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	17
teleop	45	81
endgame	11	26
foul	45	0
total	103	124

Result

Final score

103 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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