FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

360.82 – 333.47

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

370 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 171.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.4 ±9.9

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 15.46Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 177.64Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 167.72Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 589.1 ±9.8

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 134.32Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 43.61Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 155.54Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5623, 3539, 6090

/ 100 compat

Projected

360.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5623, 3539, 6090

Auto

80.4 23%

Teleop

201.5 58%

Endgame

68.4 20%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3572, 8397, 1918

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3572, 8397, 1918

Auto

43.5 13%

Teleop

191.8 58%

Endgame

94.2 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score360.8pts

Blue projected score333.5pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.3
Score range: 298–396
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 370 vs event baseline 193.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

622.4Season APEX589.1

80.4Auto43.5

201.5Teleop191.8

68.4Endgame94.2

59Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	112	52
teleop	154	142
endgame	84	97
foul	20	15
total	370	0

Result

Final score

370 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 171.3 pts

Match videos

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