FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

369.28 – 347.08

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

295 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 100.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.4 ±9.9

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 18.13Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 180.71Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 170.44Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 589.1 ±9.8

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 139.05Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 47.77Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 160.26Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5623, 3539, 6090

/ 100 compat

Projected

369.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5623, 3539, 6090

Auto

77.9 22%

Teleop

206.3 58%

Endgame

73.8 21%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3572, 8397, 1918

/ 100 compat

Projected

347.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3572, 8397, 1918

Auto

42.2 12%

Teleop

206.0 60%

Endgame

96.3 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score369.3pts

Blue projected score347.1pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.2
Score range: 312–404
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 515 vs event baseline 192.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

622.4Season APEX589.1

77.9Auto42.2

206.3Teleop206

73.8Endgame96.3

54Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	55
teleop	162	75
endgame	29	75
foul	5	15
total	295	220

Result

Final score

295 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 100.7 pts

Match videos

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