FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

100.33 – 99.72

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

88 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 22 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 144.9 ±12.7

7155The Robotic Rangers

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 26.57Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6087Cybertronic Lancers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 33.18Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5110Roboherd

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 40.58Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.2 ±12.7

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 27.77Rank 20Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7782Wolverine Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 51.77Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4983IronBots

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 20.18Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7155, 6087, 5110

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7155, 6087, 5110

Auto

18.1 18%

Teleop

46.6 48%

Endgame

33.2 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7808, 7782, 4983

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7808, 7782, 4983

Auto

17.9 18%

Teleop

61.3 60%

Endgame

23.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score100.3pts

Blue projected score99.7pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.6
Score range: 80–120
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 156 vs event baseline 108.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

144.9Season APEX193.2

18.1Auto17.9

46.6Teleop61.3

33.2Endgame23

51Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	11
teleop	56	23
endgame	8	34
foul	0	0
total	88	68

Result

Final score

88 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 22 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.