FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

154.44 – 101.63

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

228 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 281.7 ±11.6

6122Potential Energy

Season APEX 61Event APEX 6.25Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7790Baywatch Robotics

Season APEX 104Event APEX 79.44Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 68.75Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 144.9 ±12.7

7155The Robotic Rangers

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 26.77Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6087Cybertronic Lancers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 33.88Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5110Roboherd

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 40.98Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6122, 7790, 3767

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6122, 7790, 3767

Auto

31.5 21%

Teleop

85.6 56%

Endgame

35.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7155, 6087, 5110

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7155, 6087, 5110

Auto

20.7 21%

Teleop

43.0 44%

Endgame

35.1 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score154.4pts

Blue projected score101.6pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 52.8
Score range: 83–173
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 329 vs event baseline 107.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

281.7Season APEX144.9

31.5Auto20.7

85.6Teleop43

35.8Endgame35.1

46Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	13
teleop	153	61
endgame	30	27
foul	0	0
total	228	101

Result

Final score

228 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts

Match videos

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