FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

144.88 – 76.25

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

236 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 48.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.5 ±11.7

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX 18.1Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4398Gladiators

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 63.06Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3688Norsemen

Season APEX 84Event APEX 63.72Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 138.9 ±13.3

5110Roboherd

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 40.04Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3537Delta Force

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 6.22Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 29.99Rank 20Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10613, 4398, 3688

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10613, 4398, 3688

Auto

31.3 22%

Teleop

72.6 51%

Endgame

37.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5110, 3537, 7808

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5110, 3537, 7808

Auto

19.6 26%

Teleop

35.5 46%

Endgame

21.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score144.9pts

Blue projected score76.3pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.6
Score range: 57–164
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 319 vs event baseline 105.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

269.5Season APEX138.9

31.3Auto19.6

72.6Teleop35.5

37.2Endgame21.6

12Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	18
teleop	124	33
endgame	80	32
foul	0	0
total	236	83

Result

Final score

236 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 48.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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