FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

175.65 – 39.06

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

147 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 35.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 377.1 ±11.7

10181ProtoWarriors

Season APEX 62Event APEX 9.47Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5183Devil Bots

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 16.12Rank 32Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5193Pantheon

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 150.06Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 250.7 ±12.4

9771FPRO

Season APEX 146.8Event APEX 19.6Rank 30Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11440Casman EObots

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 2.87Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6569Gladiators

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 16.59Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10181, 5183, 5193

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10181, 5183, 5193

Auto

25.8 15%

Teleop

97.7 57%

Endgame

48.9 28%

Strengths

· 5193 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9771, 11440, 6569

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9771, 11440, 6569

Auto

8.6 22%

Teleop

11.1 28%

Endgame

19.6 50%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.16 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score175.7pts

Blue projected score39.1pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 136.6
Score range: 20–195
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 228 vs event baseline 105.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

377.1Season APEX250.7

25.8Auto8.6

97.7Teleop11.1

48.9Endgame19.6

56Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	13
teleop	94	47
endgame	15	21
foul	0	0
total	147	81

Result

Final score

147 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 35.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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