FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

125.88 – 44.13

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

72 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 33.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 288.7 ±11.7

6122Potential Energy

Season APEX 61Event APEX 12.55Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5534Onaway Onabots

Season APEX 176.3Event APEX 92.8Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 20.53Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.9 ±12.4

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX -2.99Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7598SCA Constellations

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 14.93Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5509Like a Boss

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 32.19Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6122, 5534, 9542

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6122, 5534, 9542

Auto

23.2 18%

Teleop

76.6 61%

Endgame

26.0 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 904, 7598, 5509

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 904, 7598, 5509

Auto

18.6 46%

Teleop

10.4 26%

Endgame

11.1 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score125.9pts

Blue projected score44.1pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 81.8
Score range: 25–145
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 129 vs event baseline 106.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

288.7Season APEX226.9

23.2Auto18.6

76.6Teleop10.4

26Endgame11.1

28Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	24
teleop	30	22
endgame	19	11
foul	0	0
total	72	57

Result

Final score

72 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 33.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.