FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

184.06 – 68.59

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

192 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 13.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 372.2 ±12.4

9176Greenspire Steel Sturgeons

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 9.12Rank 35Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5247Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 25.15Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5193Pantheon

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 149.79Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 197.3 ±12.7

7782Wolverine Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 52.33Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9759Forge of Falcons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 6.64Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10181ProtoWarriors

Season APEX 62Event APEX 9.62Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9176, 5247, 5193

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9176, 5247, 5193

Auto

41.7 22%

Teleop

98.0 53%

Endgame

45.9 25%

Strengths

· 5193 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7782, 9759, 10181

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7782, 9759, 10181

Auto

11.3 17%

Teleop

36.6 56%

Endgame

17.9 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score184.1pts

Blue projected score68.6pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.5
Score range: 50–203
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 279 vs event baseline 104.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

372.2Season APEX197.3

41.7Auto11.3

98Teleop36.6

45.9Endgame17.9

42Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	12
teleop	102	42
endgame	37	33
foul	15	0
total	192	87

Result

Final score

192 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 13.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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