FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.91 – 148.58

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

63 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 324.4 ±11.2

8611Cyber Patriots

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 5.88Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7598SCA Constellations

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 17.43Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1711RAPTORS

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 62.6Rank 8Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 305.4 ±12.4

5504The Loose Connections

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 7.25Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX 23.35Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5086Cadillac Connectors

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 117.98Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8611, 7598, 1711

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8611, 7598, 1711

Auto

23.3 27%

Teleop

51.0 59%

Endgame

12.7 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5504, 10613, 5086

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5504, 10613, 5086

Auto

27.7 19%

Teleop

86.2 60%

Endgame

29.2 20%

Strengths

· 5086 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.9pts

Blue projected score148.6pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.7
Score range: 67–168
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 165 vs event baseline 104.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

324.4Season APEX305.4

23.3Auto27.7

51Teleop86.2

12.7Endgame29.2

42Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	26
teleop	32	68
endgame	16	8
foul	0	0
total	63	102

Result

Final score

63 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.