FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

77.92 – 46.31

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

77 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 10.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 159 ±13.3

4835Junkyard Dawgs

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 14.61Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7155The Robotic Rangers

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 29.82Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6087Cybertronic Lancers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 33.49Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 127.7 ±13.3

4983IronBots

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 27.58Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 22.17Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX -3.44Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4835, 7155, 6087

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4835, 7155, 6087

Auto

19.0 25%

Teleop

36.1 47%

Endgame

21.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4983, 9542, 904

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4983, 9542, 904

Auto

11.4 24%

Teleop

26.2 56%

Endgame

9.1 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score77.9pts

Blue projected score46.3pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31.6
Score range: 27–97
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 104 vs event baseline 104.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

159Season APEX127.7

19Auto11.4

36.1Teleop26.2

21.7Endgame9.1

22Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	19
teleop	42	7
endgame	28	1
foul	0	0
total	77	27

Result

Final score

77 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 10.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.