FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

63.12 – 43.49

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

73 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 10.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 153.5 ±13.3

10614AEA Robolution

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 32.62Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6569Gladiators

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 15.8Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5560Central Lake Trobotics

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 14.7Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.7 ±11.7

9771FPRO

Season APEX 146.8Event APEX 23.95Rank 30Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3537Delta Force

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 4.98Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6122Potential Energy

Season APEX 61Event APEX 14.56Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10614, 6569, 5560

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10614, 6569, 5560

Auto

9.7 16%

Teleop

26.9 44%

Endgame

25.0 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9771, 3537, 6122

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9771, 3537, 6122

Auto

14.2 33%

Teleop

18.4 43%

Endgame

9.9 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score63.1pts

Blue projected score43.5pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 19.6
Score range: 24–82
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 105 vs event baseline 105.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

153.5Season APEX245.7

9.7Auto14.2

26.9Teleop18.4

25Endgame9.9

0Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	12
teleop	33	13
endgame	14	7
foul	0	0
total	73	32

Result

Final score

73 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 10.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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