FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

112.2 – 10.61

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

116 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 5.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.8 ±12.8

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 23.43Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 55.59Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6087Cybertronic Lancers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 33.18Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 107 ±13.9

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX -3Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9176Greenspire Steel Sturgeons

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 9.77Rank 35Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3537Delta Force

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 3.84Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9542, 3767, 6087

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9542, 3767, 6087

Auto

24.2 23%

Teleop

51.3 48%

Endgame

30.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 904, 9176, 3537

/ 100 compat

Projected

10.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 904, 9176, 3537

Auto

10.6 87%

Teleop

-5.6 0%

Endgame

7.2 59%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.99 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score112.2pts

Blue projected score10.6pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 101.6
Score range: -8–131
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 105.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218.8Season APEX107

24.2Auto10.6

51.3Teleop-5.6

30.5Endgame7.2

2Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	12
teleop	49	3
endgame	39	3
foul	0	0
total	116	18

Result

Final score

116 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 5.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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