FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.11 – 26

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

131 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 25.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 208.1 ±12.7

4983IronBots

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 29.11Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5247Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 25.23Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7790Baywatch Robotics

Season APEX 104Event APEX 77.77Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 159.4 ±13.3

6569Gladiators

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 11.84Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6122Potential Energy

Season APEX 61Event APEX 10.99Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5504The Loose Connections

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 3.17Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4983, 5247, 7790

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4983, 5247, 7790

Auto

30.7 23%

Teleop

74.5 56%

Endgame

28.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6569, 6122, 5504

/ 100 compat

Projected

26 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6569, 6122, 5504

Auto

15.1 58%

Teleop

-2.8 0%

Endgame

13.7 53%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.1pts

Blue projected score26pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.1
Score range: 7–151
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 104.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

208.1Season APEX159.4

30.7Auto15.1

74.5Teleop-2.8

28.6Endgame13.7

34Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	10
teleop	64	40
endgame	32	26
foul	0	0
total	131	76

Result

Final score

131 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 25.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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