FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

103.26 – 47.56

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

73 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.3 ±12.8

3602RoboMos

Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 44.18Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5509Like a Boss

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 33.76Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 25.32Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 120.7 ±13.3

7855Chronic Robophobia

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 22.12Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX 20.39Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3537Delta Force

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 5.05Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3602, 5509, 9542

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3602, 5509, 9542

Auto

23.1 24%

Teleop

48.7 50%

Endgame

26.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7855, 10613, 3537

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7855, 10613, 3537

Auto

11.3 24%

Teleop

29.5 62%

Endgame

6.6 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.3pts

Blue projected score47.6pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.7
Score range: 29–122
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 109 vs event baseline 105.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218.3Season APEX120.7

23.1Auto11.3

48.7Teleop29.5

26Endgame6.6

28Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	11
teleop	49	15
endgame	7	10
foul	0	0
total	73	36

Result

Final score

73 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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