FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

61.23 – 118

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

35 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 43.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.8 ±12.4

3537Delta Force

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 9.16Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 27.31Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7598SCA Constellations

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 24.76Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.5 ±11.7

4398Gladiators

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 64.61Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3618Petoskey Paladins

Season APEX 92.6Event APEX 40.15Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11440Casman EObots

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 13.24Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3537, 9542, 7598

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3537, 9542, 7598

Auto

25.2 41%

Teleop

26.2 42%

Endgame

10.8 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4398, 3618, 11440

/ 100 compat

Projected

118 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4398, 3618, 11440

Auto

20.0 17%

Teleop

65.5 54%

Endgame

34.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.2pts

Blue projected score118pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -56.8
Score range: 42–137
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 92 vs event baseline 106.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

248.8Season APEX265.5

25.2Auto20

26.2Teleop65.5

10.8Endgame34.8

0Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	17
teleop	10	32
endgame	0	8
foul	0	0
total	35	57

Result

Final score

35 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 43.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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