FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

244.7 – 60.79

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

226 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 12.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 410 ±11.2

6087Cybertronic Lancers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 32.24Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5193Pantheon

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 144.55Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3688Norsemen

Season APEX 84Event APEX 67.91Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 165.3 ±13.9

6569Gladiators

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 10.39Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5509Like a Boss

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 31.33Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX 19.07Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6087, 5193, 3688

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6087, 5193, 3688

Auto

36.2 15%

Teleop

137.4 57%

Endgame

65.6 27%

Strengths

· 5193 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6569, 5509, 10613

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6569, 5509, 10613

Auto

16.0 30%

Teleop

23.4 44%

Endgame

13.8 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score244.7pts

Blue projected score60.8pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 183.9
Score range: 42–264
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 293 vs event baseline 105.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

410Season APEX165.3

36.2Auto16

137.4Teleop23.4

65.6Endgame13.8

10Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	21
teleop	109	24
endgame	72	22
foul	0	0
total	226	67

Result

Final score

226 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 12.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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