FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

198.38 – 43.42

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

228 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 408.7 ±10.5

4398Gladiators

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 64.42Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5534Onaway Onabots

Season APEX 176.3Event APEX 89.77Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7782Wolverine Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 44.19Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.4 ±13.3

10614AEA Robolution

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 21.68Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5247Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 25.17Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8611Cyber Patriots

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX -3.43Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4398, 5534, 7782

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4398, 5534, 7782

Auto

34.8 18%

Teleop

120.3 61%

Endgame

41.8 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10614, 5247, 8611

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10614, 5247, 8611

Auto

9.8 21%

Teleop

29.4 63%

Endgame

7.4 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score198.4pts

Blue projected score43.4pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 155
Score range: 24–217
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 105.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

408.7Season APEX156.4

34.8Auto9.8

120.3Teleop29.4

41.8Endgame7.4

43Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	38
teleop	139	29
endgame	56	21
foul	0	0
total	228	88

Result

Final score

228 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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