FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

159.25 – 87.55

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

146 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 367.5 ±10.5

7790Baywatch Robotics

Season APEX 104Event APEX 73.94Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9771FPRO

Season APEX 146.8Event APEX 20.89Rank 30Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 64.42Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 140 ±13.9

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX 27.78Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 30.21Rank 20Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 29.56Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7790, 9771, 3767

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7790, 9771, 3767

Auto

25.9 17%

Teleop

93.6 61%

Endgame

34.6 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10613, 7808, 9542

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10613, 7808, 9542

Auto

15.3 18%

Teleop

48.2 57%

Endgame

21.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score159.3pts

Blue projected score87.6pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.7
Score range: 69–178
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 192 vs event baseline 104.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

367.5Season APEX140

25.9Auto15.3

93.6Teleop48.2

34.6Endgame21.2

23Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	19
teleop	77	20
endgame	42	7
foul	0	0
total	146	46

Result

Final score

146 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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