FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

134.83 – 17.14

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

213 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 90 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 334 ±11.2

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 52.52Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX 10.25Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5534Onaway Onabots

Season APEX 176.3Event APEX 72.06Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166 ±12.8

9176Greenspire Steel Sturgeons

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 6.61Rank 35Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5504The Loose Connections

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX -14.04Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3618Petoskey Paladins

Season APEX 92.6Event APEX 24.57Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3767, 10613, 5534

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3767, 10613, 5534

Auto

26.6 20%

Teleop

90.3 67%

Endgame

18.5 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9176, 5504, 3618

/ 100 compat

Projected

17.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9176, 5504, 3618

Auto

2.0 11%

Teleop

13.6 73%

Endgame

3.0 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score134.8pts

Blue projected score17.1pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 117.7
Score range: -1–153
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 101.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

334Season APEX166

26.6Auto2

90.3Teleop13.6

18.5Endgame3

99Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	20
teleop	143	51
endgame	33	48
foul	15	0
total	213	119

Result

Final score

213 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 90 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.