FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.37 – 33.55

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

118 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 8.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.5 ±12.8

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 34.15Rank 20Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1711RAPTORS

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 85.92Rank 8Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5560Central Lake Trobotics

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 12.3Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 93.4 ±13.9

5247Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 21.85Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX -11.47Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11440Casman EObots

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 23.17Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7808, 1711, 5560

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7808, 1711, 5560

Auto

29.3 23%

Teleop

65.4 51%

Endgame

34.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5247, 904, 11440

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5247, 904, 11440

Auto

13.5 35%

Teleop

23.0 60%

Endgame

2.1 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.96 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.4pts

Blue projected score33.6pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 98.8
Score range: 15–151
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 155 vs event baseline 103.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

180.5Season APEX93.4

29.3Auto13.5

65.4Teleop23

34.2Endgame2.1

58Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	19
teleop	84	8
endgame	13	10
foul	0	0
total	118	37

Result

Final score

118 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 8.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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