FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.26 – 48.82

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 30 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 123.3 ±13.3

11466Mega-CAPs

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 24.32Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5110Roboherd

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 20.8Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX -13.86Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.1 ±12.8

6569Gladiators

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 14.42Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9176Greenspire Steel Sturgeons

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX -3.23Rank 35Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3602RoboMos

Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 37.63Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11466, 5110, 904

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11466, 5110, 904

Auto

8.1 28%

Teleop

3.1 11%

Endgame

17.3 61%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6569, 9176, 3602

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6569, 9176, 3602

Auto

14.9 31%

Teleop

17.9 38%

Endgame

14.8 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score31.3pts

Blue projected score48.8pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.6
Score range: 12–68
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 140 vs event baseline 104.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

123.3Season APEX244.1

8.1Auto14.9

3.1Teleop17.9

17.3Endgame14.8

151Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	14
teleop	36	39
endgame	19	20
foul	0	0
total	67	73

Result

Final score

67 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 30 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.