FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.1 – 166.84

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

124 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 24.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.2 ±12.8

5183Devil Bots

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 22.1Rank 32Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4398Gladiators

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 69.82Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3537Delta Force

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX -10.82Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 274.8 ±11.1

7155The Robotic Rangers

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 36.18Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4983IronBots

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 54.4Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5534Onaway Onabots

Season APEX 176.3Event APEX 76.26Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5183, 4398, 3537

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5183, 4398, 3537

Auto

25.7 31%

Teleop

40.2 49%

Endgame

15.8 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7155, 4983, 5534

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7155, 4983, 5534

Auto

33.0 19%

Teleop

112.6 66%

Endgame

23.8 14%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score81.1pts

Blue projected score166.8pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -85.7
Score range: 62–186
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 284 vs event baseline 103.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.2Season APEX274.8

25.7Auto33

40.2Teleop112.6

15.8Endgame23.8

145Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	21
teleop	64	114
endgame	40	25
foul	0	0
total	124	160

Result

Final score

124 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 24.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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