FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

186.9 – 82.14

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

241 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 505 ±9.9

7790Baywatch Robotics

Season APEX 104Event APEX 68.03Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5086Cadillac Connectors

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 103.02Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7598SCA Constellations

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 15.85Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 144.7 ±13.9

6087Cybertronic Lancers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 24.37Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 41.94Rank 20Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5247Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 15.83Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7790, 5086, 7598

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7790, 5086, 7598

Auto

43.0 23%

Teleop

108.8 57%

Endgame

38.5 20%

Strengths

· 5086 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6087, 7808, 5247

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6087, 7808, 5247

Auto

13.9 17%

Teleop

42.6 53%

Endgame

23.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score186.9pts

Blue projected score82.1pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 104.8
Score range: 64–205
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 101.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

505Season APEX144.7

43Auto13.9

108.8Teleop42.6

38.5Endgame23.3

66Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	25
teleop	149	28
endgame	51	36
foul	0	0
total	241	89

Result

Final score

241 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.