FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

168.3 – 101.91

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

178 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 31.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 331.1 ±11.7

7155The Robotic Rangers

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 25.39Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5509Like a Boss

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 30.28Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5086Cadillac Connectors

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 112.63Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 222.4 ±11.6

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 72.27Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

10614AEA Robolution

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 17.92Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6122Potential Energy

Season APEX 61Event APEX 11.72Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7155, 5509, 5086

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7155, 5509, 5086

Auto

35.0 21%

Teleop

96.1 58%

Endgame

33.3 20%

Strengths

· 5086 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3767, 10614, 6122

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3767, 10614, 6122

Auto

28.4 28%

Teleop

54.1 53%

Endgame

20.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score168.3pts

Blue projected score101.9pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.4
Score range: 81–189
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 115.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

331.1Season APEX222.4

35Auto28.4

96.1Teleop54.1

33.3Endgame20

61Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	10
teleop	112	25
endgame	24	14
foul	0	0
total	178	49

Result

Final score

178 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 31.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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