FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.68 – 143.89

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

105 – 210

Prediction correct · off by 69.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.3 ±12.2

6122Potential Energy

Season APEX 61Event APEX -7.87Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8611Cyber Patriots

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 17.23Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3688Norsemen

Season APEX 84Event APEX 22.32Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 326.6 ±11.2

5534Onaway Onabots

Season APEX 176.3Event APEX 66.49Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1711RAPTORS

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 62.04Rank 8Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6087Cybertronic Lancers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 15.36Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6122, 8611, 3688

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6122, 8611, 3688

Auto

18.6 56%

Teleop

21.3 64%

Endgame

-6.8 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5534, 1711, 6087

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5534, 1711, 6087

Auto

29.5 20%

Teleop

95.1 66%

Endgame

19.6 14%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score31.7pts

Blue projected score143.9pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -112.2
Score range: 15–161
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 315 vs event baseline 95.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210.3Season APEX326.6

18.6Auto29.5

21.3Teleop95.1

-6.8Endgame19.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	38
teleop	58	125
endgame	35	47
foul	0	0
total	105	210

Result

Final score

105 – 210

Prediction correct · off by 69.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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