FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.96 – 59.23

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

21 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.2 ±11.7

7855Chronic Robophobia

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 8.78Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9771FPRO

Season APEX 146.8Event APEX 54.02Rank 30Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX -7.84Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 233.7 ±12.4

5504The Loose Connections

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 11.81Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7598SCA Constellations

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 9.77Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11466Mega-CAPs

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 37.65Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7855, 9771, 904

/ 100 compat

Projected

55 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7855, 9771, 904

Auto

11.8 23%

Teleop

26.7 52%

Endgame

13.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5504, 7598, 11466

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5504, 7598, 11466

Auto

22.3 38%

Teleop

30.8 52%

Endgame

6.1 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score55pts

Blue projected score59.2pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.3
Score range: 37–77
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 50 vs event baseline 99.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.2Season APEX233.7

11.8Auto22.3

26.7Teleop30.8

13.2Endgame6.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	12
teleop	6	16
endgame	9	1
foul	0	0
total	21	29

Result

Final score

21 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.