FIM District Traverse City Event presented by Cone Drive

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.19 – 165.24

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

129 – 316

Prediction correct · off by 110.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.6 ±12.2

4398Gladiators

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 56.85Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX -8.28Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10614AEA Robolution

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 9.62Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 564.4 ±10.7

5193Pantheon

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 69.38Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5086Cadillac Connectors

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 76.6Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 19.26Rank 20Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4398, 9542, 10614

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4398, 9542, 10614

Auto

20.0 35%

Teleop

26.0 45%

Endgame

11.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5193, 5086, 7808

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5193, 5086, 7808

Auto

28.1 17%

Teleop

113.0 69%

Endgame

23.6 14%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.86 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58.2pts

Blue projected score165.2pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107
Score range: 41–182
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 445 vs event baseline 95.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240.6Season APEX564.4

20Auto28.1

26Teleop113

11.8Endgame23.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	37
teleop	56	191
endgame	45	88
foul	0	0
total	129	316

Result

Final score

129 – 316

Prediction correct · off by 110.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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