Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
94.75 – 23.39
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
97 – 98
Prediction missed · off by 38.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 216.8 ±12.7
Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 19.58Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 40.58Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 34.59Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 67.5Event APEX -0.22Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62Event APEX -1.16Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 24.77Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7782, 6569, 5110
69
/ 100 compatProjected
94.8 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 7782, 6569, 5110
Auto
27.5 29%
Teleop
49.9 53%
Endgame
17.3 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4835, 10181, 3767
31
/ 100 compatProjected
23.4 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4835, 10181, 3767
Auto
0.8 3%
Teleop
16.7 72%
Endgame
5.8 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 0.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score94.8pts
Blue projected score23.4pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 71.4
- Score range
- 6–112
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
216.8Season APEX246.2
27.5Auto0.8
49.9Teleop16.7
17.3Endgame5.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 26 |
| teleop | 42 | 53 |
| endgame | 35 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 97 | 98 |
Result
Final score
97 – 98
Prediction missed · off by 38.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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