Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
383.08 – 347.7
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
331 – 398
Prediction missed · off by 51.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 582.3 ±9.9
Season APEX 77Event APEX 37.96Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 174.59Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 170.53Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 586 ±9.9
Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 39.38Rank 32Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 188.56Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 250Event APEX 119.76Rank 10Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10612, 33, 201
81
/ 100 compatProjected
383.1 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 10612, 33, 201
Auto
64.2 17%
Teleop
216.5 58%
Endgame
92.2 25%
Strengths
- · 33 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4384, 2851, 469
81
/ 100 compatProjected
347.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 4384, 2851, 469
Auto
63.8 19%
Teleop
191.2 58%
Endgame
75.2 23%
Strengths
- · 2851 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.49
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score383.1pts
Blue projected score347.7pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample202alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 35.4
- Score range
- 314–417
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
582.3Season APEX586
64.2Auto63.8
216.5Teleop191.2
92.2Endgame75.2
0Consistency14
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 51 | 86 |
| teleop | 144 | 214 |
| endgame | 136 | 93 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 331 | 398 |
Result
Final score
331 – 398
Prediction missed · off by 51.2 pts
Match videos
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