Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
510.21 – 342.91
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
615 – 177
Prediction correct · off by 135.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 672.6 ±9.9
Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 16.87Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 189.65Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 303.69Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 543.9 ±9.9
Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 37.51Rank 28Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 250.1Event APEX 147.4Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 158Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9679, 4362, 7769
80
/ 100 compatProjected
510.2 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9679, 4362, 7769
Auto
90.0 18%
Teleop
306.1 60%
Endgame
110.5 22%
Strengths
- · 7769 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10652, 1498, 9245
82
/ 100 compatProjected
342.9 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10652, 1498, 9245
Auto
77.8 23%
Teleop
186.6 55%
Endgame
73.7 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score510.2pts
Blue projected score342.9pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample202alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 167.3
- Score range
- 309–544
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
672.6Season APEX543.9
90Auto77.8
306.1Teleop186.6
110.5Endgame73.7
0Consistency38
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 69 | 52 |
| teleop | 344 | 56 |
| endgame | 162 | 69 |
| foul | 40 | 0 |
| total | 615 | 177 |
Result
Final score
615 – 177
Prediction correct · off by 135.4 pts
Match videos
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