FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

520.74 – 114.31

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

449 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 71 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 672.6 ±9.9

9679Madison Eagles

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 19.4Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 193.51Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 307.83Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 501.8 ±10.5

573Mech Warriors

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 64.94Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11493Pixel Knights

Season APEX 227.1Event APEX 28.36Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7762AutoPilots

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 21.01Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9679, 4362, 7769

/ 100 compat

Projected

520.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9679, 4362, 7769

Auto

85.9 17%

Teleop

313.4 61%

Endgame

116.8 23%

Strengths

· 7769 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 573, 11493, 7762

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 573, 11493, 7762

Auto

21.2 19%

Teleop

55.9 50%

Endgame

34.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.65 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score520.7pts

Blue projected score114.3pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample202alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 406.4
Score range: 81–554
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 493 vs event baseline 184.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

672.6Season APEX501.8

85.9Auto21.2

313.4Teleop55.9

116.8Endgame34.4

0Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	114	35
teleop	257	6
endgame	78	3
foul	0	0
total	449	44

Result

Final score

449 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 71 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.