FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation

Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

376.54 – 230.33

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

337 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 582.3 ±9.9

10612Cougear

Season APEX 77Event APEX 35.61Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 173.14Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 167.79Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 449.4 ±11.2

5527Cyber Phoenix

Season APEX 71.7Event APEX 50.74Rank 19Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 69.13Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

226Hammerheads

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 110.46Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10612, 33, 201

/ 100 compat

Projected

376.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10612, 33, 201

Auto

61.7 17%

Teleop

205.6 56%

Endgame

100.8 27%

Strengths

· 33 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5527, 3175, 226

/ 100 compat

Projected

230.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5527, 3175, 226

Auto

33.9 15%

Teleop

155.9 68%

Endgame

40.8 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.39 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score376.5pts

Blue projected score230.3pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample202alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 146.2
Score range: 196–411
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 493 vs event baseline 190.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

582.3Season APEX449.4

61.7Auto33.9

205.6Teleop155.9

100.8Endgame40.8

0Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	24
teleop	171	83
endgame	101	49
foul	15	0
total	337	156

Result

Final score

337 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.