FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

123.74 – 38.81

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

152 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354 ±11.7

5065Knights #5065

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 31.73Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 28.48Rank 32Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 63.53Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158.6 ±13.3

10665Unibots

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 21.13Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4998TESLA

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 13.81Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9651Ecorse Robo Raiders

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 3.87Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5065, 4384, 3175

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5065, 4384, 3175

Auto

25.2 22%

Teleop

58.7 50%

Endgame

32.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10665, 4998, 9651

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10665, 4998, 9651

Auto

13.2 42%

Teleop

15.4 49%

Endgame

2.8 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score123.7pts

Blue projected score38.8pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample202alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 84.9
Score range: 6–157
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 212 vs event baseline 183.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354Season APEX158.6

25.2Auto13.2

58.7Teleop15.4

32.6Endgame2.8

0Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	17
teleop	93	27
endgame	23	16
foul	0	0
total	152	60

Result

Final score

152 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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