FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

170.87 – 241.43

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

404 – 211

Prediction missed · off by 131.8 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 521.9 ±11.1

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 29.71Rank 32Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX -Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 114.29Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402.9 ±11.7

5197Northwestern High

Season APEX 73.6Event APEX 23.14Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 104Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5436Cyber Cats

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 114.29Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4384, 8115, 7769

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4384, 8115, 7769

Auto

40.1 24%

Teleop

80.9 48%

Endgame

48.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5197, 4362, 5436

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5197, 4362, 5436

Auto

40.0 17%

Teleop

131.1 55%

Endgame

66.0 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score170.9pts

Blue projected score241.4pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample202alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -70.6
Score range: 142–270
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 615 vs event baseline 161.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

521.9Season APEX402.9

32Auto40

67.4Teleop131.1

43.1Endgame66

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	67
teleop	196	69
endgame	113	75
foul	5	0
total	404	211

Result

Final score

404 – 211

Prediction missed · off by 131.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.