FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 79

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.23 – 184.12

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 44.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 136.1 ±13.3

9252Wingspan

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 24.02Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5467RoboTractors

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -11.22Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 24.43Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 429.5 ±10.5

573Mech Warriors

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 58.47Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10652Mechanical MacGyvers

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 26.48Rank 28Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

226Hammerheads

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 99.17Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9252, 5467, 8115

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9252, 5467, 8115

Auto

11.6 39%

Teleop

-0.7 0%

Endgame

19.1 64%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 573, 10652, 226

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 573, 10652, 226

Auto

12.7 7%

Teleop

113.1 64%

Endgame

50.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score37.2pts

Blue projected score184.1pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample202alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -146.9
Score range: 4–217
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 183.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

136.1Season APEX429.5

11.6Auto12.7

-0.7Teleop113.1

19.1Endgame50.3

59Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	50
teleop	17	145
endgame	6	64
foul	5	0
total	51	259

Result

Final score

51 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 44.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.