Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
76.79 – 76.79
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
54 – 360
Prediction missed · off by 153 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 173.6 ±13.3
Season APEX 43.4Event APEX -Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.4Event APEX -Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 89.8Event APEX -Rank 12Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 705.4 ±8.7
Season APEX 248.5Event APEX -Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 246.5Event APEX -Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 210.4Event APEX -Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8364, 5065, 5531
50
/ 100 compatProjected
76.8 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 8364, 5065, 5531
Auto
23.0 30%
Teleop
38.4 50%
Endgame
15.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 201, 2851, 573
50
/ 100 compatProjected
76.8 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 201, 2851, 573
Auto
23.0 30%
Teleop
38.4 50%
Endgame
15.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score76.8pts
Blue projected score76.8pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample202alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 49–105
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
173.6Season APEX705.4
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 22 |
| teleop | 19 | 249 |
| endgame | 20 | 84 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 54 | 360 |
Result
Final score
54 – 360
Prediction missed · off by 153 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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