FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

317.53 – 173.49

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

297 – 310

Prediction missed · off by 78.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 500.9 ±11.7

9651Ecorse Robo Raiders

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 16.85Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7716JLW Formula 01

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 8.07Rank 43Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 292.61Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.5 ±12.2

226Hammerheads

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 86.57Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5860Full Metal Muskrats

Season APEX 103.3Event APEX 73.89Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10665Unibots

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 13.03Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9651, 7716, 7769

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9651, 7716, 7769

Auto

75.3 24%

Teleop

183.3 58%

Endgame

56.1 18%

Strengths

· 7769 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 226, 5860, 10665

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 226, 5860, 10665

Auto

24.4 15%

Teleop

112.1 70%

Endgame

22.7 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score317.5pts

Blue projected score173.5pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample202alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 144
Score range: 141–350
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 607 vs event baseline 178.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

500.9Season APEX296.5

75.3Auto24.4

183.3Teleop112.1

56.1Endgame22.7

0Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	37
teleop	178	184
endgame	68	89
foul	0	0
total	297	310

Result

Final score

297 – 310

Prediction missed · off by 78.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.