FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

103.97 – 82.15

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

134 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 31.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 329.6 ±12.4

7813New Haven RoboRaptors

Season APEX 41Event APEX 14.32Rank 26Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 65.92Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9528The Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 23.73Rank 20Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 183.3 ±13.9

9252Wingspan

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 26.34Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11361ORA Raven Bots

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 29.04Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9618Tronarchs

Season APEX 42Event APEX 26.77Rank 42Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7813, 3175, 9528

/ 100 compat

Projected

104 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7813, 3175, 9528

Auto

15.8 15%

Teleop

68.4 65%

Endgame

20.4 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9252, 11361, 9618

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9252, 11361, 9618

Auto

21.7 26%

Teleop

40.8 49%

Endgame

21.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score104pts

Blue projected score82.1pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample202alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.8
Score range: 46–140
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 183 vs event baseline 201.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

329.6Season APEX183.3

15.8Auto21.7

68.4Teleop40.8

20.4Endgame21.6

30Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	15
teleop	92	21
endgame	37	13
foul	0	0
total	134	49

Result

Final score

134 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 31.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.